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Weekly Outlook for Week of October 3rd – 7th

Here’s the market outlook for this week:

Dominant bias: Neutral
Nothing significant happened last week – just a brief move above the resistance line at 1.1250 and a test of the support line at 1.1150. The bias has become neutral in the short- and long-term, and will continue until price goes out of balance, which should occur within two weeks. The October outlook for most EUR pairs is bearish, so probability has price declining this month.

Dominant bias: Bearish
This pair is short-term bearish, but long-term neutral. Efforts were made to push price up last week, but were ultimately resisted and, although the short-term outlook is bearish, price did nothing more than test the resistance level at 0.9750 and the support level at 0.9650. Luckily, there should be a rise in momentum this week.

Dominant bias: Bearish
The long- and short-term outlooks are bearish, but price simply moved sideways last week – despite Bearish Confirmation Patterns being visible on the 4-hour and daily charts. Bearish movement is anticipated this week, which should drive price towards the accumulation territories at 1.2900, 1.2850 and 1.2800. Rallies will invariably turn out to be bull traps that present good short-selling opportunities. The accumulation territory at 1.2950 is currently doing a good job preventing further downside, though it could give way very soon. With the October outlook strongly bearish for GBP, large downside movements should be expected for most GBP pairs.

Dominant bias: Neutral
The overall market condition throughout September has been a kind of consolidation. Further sideways movement will result in a neutral long-term bias, but there is a high possibility of price starting to trend seriously by the end of this week, which could result in a bearish or bullish signal forming on the 4-hour chart.

Dominant bias: Neutral
Similar to the conditions surrounding USDJPY, price consolidated between the demand zone at 112.50 and the supply zone at 114.00 last week, but this week should see a rise in momentum taking price out of that range and resulting in a bearish or bullish short-term bias.

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